Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Musa Dankwah, has disclosed that former Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia polled 46 per cent against 43 per cent for Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson in a hypothetical 2028 presidential election matchup in the Ashanti and Eastern regions.

The September 2026 national tracking poll, which tested possible presidential matchups in the two regions, showed Bawumia leading Ato Forson by three percentage points in a multi-candidate scenario involving former Assin Central MP Kennedy Agyapong.

In a post shared on X on November 9, 2026, Dankwah indicated that the difference between the two leading contenders falls within the survey's margin of error, meaning they are statistically neck and neck.

Kennedy Agyapong, another potential New Patriotic Party (NPP) presidential contender, polled 8 per cent, while Movement for Change leader Alan Kyerematen and New Force leader Nana Kwame Bediako recorded 2 per cent and 1 per cent, respectively.

Other candidates collectively obtained 1 per cent.

Dr Bawumia leads all NDC hopefuls in 2028 race - APL Poll

When Agyapong was excluded from the hypothetical contest, Bawumia's support increased to 48 per cent, while Ato Forson's share also rose to 45 per cent.

Kyerematen's support doubled from 2 per cent to 4 per cent, with Bediako also recording an increase from 1 per cent to 2 per cent.

Global InfoAnalytics noted that the changes suggest Agyapong's supporters in the two regions would not automatically transfer their votes to Bawumia if the former Assin Central MP does not contest the 2028 election.

Some could instead support Ato Forson and other candidates.

The poll tested Ato Forson as a potential presidential candidate of the governing National Democratic Congress (NDC), as President John Dramani Mahama has indicated that he will not seek a third term.

See the post below

SEPTEMBER 2026 NATIONAL TRACKING POLL- 2028 GENERAL ELECTION -ATO FORSON V DR BAWUMIA + KENNEDY AGYAPONG - EASTERN REGION EXCLUSIVE https://t.co/9TD1AnTRSN

— Mussa K. Dankwah, MSc.FCCA, DipIFR, MCISI,AIRM (@MKDankwah) November 9, 2026