A survey conducted by researcher Dr Evans Duah has placed former Assin Central Member of Parliament, Kennedy Agyapong, in a commanding position ahead of the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primary set for January 2026.

The survey, unveiled at a press conference at the British Council in Accra on Monday, October 20, 2025, showed that Agyapong has widened his lead over his main contender, former Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia.

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"The September–October 2025 results confirm a consolidation of Kennedy Ohene Agyapong’s (KOA) lead and a gradual decline in Dr Mahamudu Bawumia’s (DMB) national share. KOA’s growth from approximately 41% in August to 44.11% (worst-case) and 53.80% (best-case) in October 2025 represents a critical phase shift. He is no longer only leading but also sustaining that lead across multiple regions," the survey revealed.

The results showed Kennedy Agyapong securing between 44.11% and 53.80% of support under worst and best-case projections respectively, representing a 9.69 percentage point rise since August.

The report added that his support base remained strongest across the southern belt, particularly in the Central, Greater Accra, Ashanti, Bono, Ahafo, Volta, and Western regions.

The study also found that Dr Bawumia, who served as Vice President of Ghana and led the NPP into the 2024 general elections, maintained second place.

While Dr Bawumia continues to enjoy solid backing in the northern regions — North East, Northern, Savannah, Upper East, and Upper West — the findings suggest limited growth in his appeal beyond those areas.

"Conversely, DMB’s share has stabilised within a narrower range (39.51% to 32.21%), reflecting a steady but constrained base. This stagnation signals that while his northern bloc remains intact, his campaign has struggled to make inroads in the south despite increased visibility and endorsements," it said.

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Additionally, the survey showed that the other flagbearer aspirants: Dr Bryan Acheampong, Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum, and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong continue to trail, with smaller but regionally concentrated support bases.

"Bryan Acheampong (BA) has gained marginally, moving from 6.28 % to 8.27 %, demonstrating resilience within the Eastern Region and limited traction in the Greater Accra periphery. Both Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum (YOA) and Ing Kwabena Agyei Agyapong (KAA) maintain symbolic relevance, appealing to delegates through niche credibility rather than broad structural reach," the report added.

The researcher, Dr Evans Duah, however, cautioned that the race remains competitive, noting that “The final outcome will depend on how effectively each campaign converts current enthusiasm into votes before the primary.”

The New Patriotic Party (NPP) has slated January 31, 2026, for its presidential primary.

See the full report below:



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