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Opinions of Thursday, 20 July 2023

Columnist: Hon. Banasco Seidu Nuhu

The Second Russia - African summit: Expectations and its impacts on the Ghanaian economy

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and Russian President Vladimir Putin at Russia-Africa Summit South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and Russian President Vladimir Putin at Russia-Africa Summit

The first Russia-Africa Summit, which took place in October 2019 in Sochi Russia, hosted over 40 African presidents with the attendance of the President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo of Ghana and his team.

The summit was aimed at strengthening economic ties between Russia and African countries.

The effect of the event was immediately felt in the Ghanaian environment as it quickly acted on some of the areas it focused on strengthening, such as; Trade and Investment, Energy Cooperation, Infrastructure Development, Technological Cooperation and Military Cooperation.

It is interesting to note that from the time of the last summit up until now, the Ghanaian Government has hosted several delegates from the Russian Business community, taken part in exhibitions and is currently experiencing a robust and healthy relationship with the Russian Federation and mostly in the areas of trade and investment.

Like most of the other partner nations, Ghana has seen a rise in trade volume between the both nations in the last .
In 2021, Russia exported to the tune of about $170M to Ghana.

The main products that Russia exported to Ghana are Wheat (about $60M), Nitrogenous Fertilizers (about $40M), Hot-Rolled Iron Bars ($30M) and a host of other products. During the last 25 years, exports of Russia to Ghana have increased at an annual rate of 15%, from $5.09M in 1996 to $166M in 2021 and exponentially till the year 2023 .

In 2021, Ghana exported to the tune of $76.7M to Russia. The main products that Ghana exported to Russia were Cocoa Paste ($50.6M), Cocoa Powder ($18M), and Cocoa Beans ($6.2M). During the last 25 years the exports of Ghana to Russia have increased at an annual rate of 3.87%, from $29.7M in 1996 to $76.7M in 2021.

Key players in the African economy including Ghana have also stepped up their games in the energy sector in partnership with the Russian Federation with several nuclear plants and energy projects being constructed, even as ROSATOM(Russia’s state owned energy company) has chosen to educate several African students on energy programmes fir free. Other African countries have also recently benefited from Russia’s military assistance and cooperation, while not leaving different areas of the economy unturned.

The second Russia - Africa Summit has been slated for the 27th - 28th of July which will be taking place in the former Capital City of the Russian Federation - St. Petersburg, and its main essence is to strengthen the first. The summit would serve as a platform for Russian and African leaders to engage in dialogue, discuss bilateral and multilateral issues, and explore opportunities for cooperation. It could cover a wide range of topics, including trade, investment, infrastructure development, energy, security, healthcare, and education.

The global impact of this summit would depend on the outcomes and agreements reached during the event. Here are a few potential global impacts that could arise from a second Russia Africa Summit:

1. Strengthened diplomatic ties: The summit would provide an opportunity for Russia to deepen its diplomatic relationships with African countries. It could result in the signing of more joint agreements and memoranda of understanding, enhancing a stronger political cooperation between Russia and African Nations. Diplomatic ties between African countries and Russia have existed for many years, with historical connections dating back to the era of the Soviet Union. Since the end of the Cold War, Russia has continued to strengthen its relationships with African nations through various diplomatic initiatives. The BRICS alliance has recently received a wave of interest from several African Nations.

2. Increased trade and investment: Discussions during the summit could focus on expanding trade and investment between Russia and African nations. This could lead to the establishment of new business partnerships, trade agreements, and investment projects. Enhanced economic ties could have a positive impact on global trade flows.

3. Infrastructure development: Infrastructure is a key area where African countries seek foreign investment. If Russia pledges support for infrastructure development projects in Africa, it could help boost economic growth and improve connectivity within the continent. This, in turn, could have spill over effects on global trade and regional integration.

4. Energy cooperation: Russia is a major player in the global energy market, particularly in oil and gas. Enhanced energy cooperation between Russia and African nations could result in increased energy exports from Africa, contributing to global energy security and diversification, which will definitely contribute to the growth of the continent’s economy, having Russia as a reliable partner.

5. Geopolitical implications: The increased engagement of Russia in Africa could have geopolitical implications. It may be perceived as a counterbalance to the influence of other global powers in the region, such as China, the United States, and the European Union. This could potentially lead to a more multipolar world order and impact global power dynamics.

6. Education: Till today the Russian Federation is one of the biggest provider of educational services to the African continent at larger, by keeping up with its culture of giving free education through the Russian government scholarship programmes, that had been in existence since the days of the soviet union. This year alone, the Russian ministry of Education has announced it will be given 15,000 free scholarship spaces to students from all continents of the world. It is worth specifying that since the last summit, several programmes have been implemented towards improving on the bilateral agreements with nations and it is certain that the second summit will address the strategies to strengthen them.

It is important to note that the actual impact of a second Russia Africa Summit would depend on the commitments made and actions taken by participating countries following the event. The outcomes could contribute to shaping Russia's relationship with Africa and have broader implications on global political and economic dynamics.