Professor Patrick Asuming, a lecturer at the University of Ghana Business School, has described the Bank of Ghana’s decision to cut its policy rate by 300 basis points as bold and unexpected.
The Central Bank reduced the rate from 28% to 25% during its July Monetary Policy Committee meeting, citing improved economic stability and a steady drop in inflation.
Professor Asuming in an interview with Citi Business News on July 30, 2025, believes the move was too sharp, suggesting a smaller cut or no change at all would have been more appropriate.
“Perhaps we could have waited two more months. We could have even been in our medium-term target, then we are on a stronger ground to target policy rate,” he said.
While he admits inflation is on a downward path and the cedi has strengthened, he cautions that the economy still faces some risks.
He stressed that a more cautious approach would have allowed the Bank of Ghana to better assess whether the positive trends are sustainable.
“I don’t think there will be a reversal. I think there is some momentum disinflation has gathered that may continue for a little while,” he said.
He pointed to the expected good harvest season and the ongoing effect of the cedi’s appreciation as factors that could help push inflation further down.
The Bank of Ghana’s decision came after inflation dropped to 13.7% in June this year, which is the lowest since December 2021, supporting its confidence in loosening monetary policy.
The central bank says it will continue watching the economy to guide future actions.
DR/MA
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